The landing: It’s not how, it’s where
Is the U.S. economy headed for a hard or soft landing?
September 9, 2024
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NER Pulse: Hiring slowed for the second week
Education and health services led the slowdown.
October 27, 2026Filter by:
Casting for bigger fish in Jackson Hole
The question on the agenda isn't to cut or not to cut. It's whether interest rate policy is an effective economic tool at all.
August 19, 2024
Wall Street threw a tantrum, but Main Street carried on
The sell-off that gripped Wall Street two weeks ago was short-lived.
August 12, 2024
It’s too soon to talk about a hard landing
Positive GDP and inflation news boosted confidence that a soft landing was not only achievable, but also close at hand.
August 5, 2024
Watching for signs of a rate cut? Keep an eye on these data sets
Sometimes the numbers speak for themselves. And for the data-driven Fed, this week’s cacophony of labor market releases will help shape future rate cuts.
July 29, 2024
The next Fed rate cut might disappoint. Here’s why.
The recent slowdown in inflation has left market watchers more confident that the Fed will cut rates at least once this year. What’s harder to predict is how that cut might affect the economy.
July 22, 2024
The self-love theory of economics
Upcoming data releases are all about economic incentives.
July 15, 2024
Wages and hiring: It’s not as simple as you think
The U.S. job market is cooling, and hiring is highly concentrated in just a few service sectors.
July 8, 2024
Three job questions for the next six months
The job market has proven to be the most consistently upbeat indicator of the U.S. economy of late.
July 1, 2024
Nela Richardson, Ph.D.
Chief Economist, ESG Officer, and head of ADP Research
Dr. Nela Richardson is chief economist and ESG officer for ADP Inc. She also leads the independent team at ADP Research, which provides reliable and timely data-driven discovery for use by the public, business leaders, and policymakers.